Change Over From Bank Fixed Deposits To Debt
Mutual Funds
The 5 or 4 star rated, 100% debt-oriented mutual funds, are
going to prove even better investments than bank fixed deposits going forward.
This, particularly in the declining interest rate scenario, at present.
They are very safe, in fact more secure than the limited
liability bank deposits, and generally hold a diversified portfolio of top-rated
company debentures and government bonds to make up their portfolios.
Debt mutual funds in India now come in a wide array of
choices: liquid funds that invest in very short-term debt instruments, often of
just three-months duration or less; others are at short, medium, and long tenures,
ranging from six months to 10 years.
When interest rates rise, the short term and liquid funds
perform better, and when they fall, the longer term income funds produce better
returns. For the foreseeable future, interest rates, as determined by the RBI,
will keep going lower, for a host of reasons, not least of them being an urgent
need to stimulate growth in the private sector, both manufacturing and
services, enhance job formation,, and the moribund housing
construction sector.
All debt funds, even the ‘close-ended’ ones, with a 3
year lock-in, are diversified, to contain, on average, between 10 and 20
different debt instruments. This is also in keeping with the regulatory
environment, created by SEBI, mandated to protect the interests of investors.
The open-ended, growth option, debt mutual fund however,
is the best bet for the retail investor, graduating from bank fixed deposits,
because it can be bought or sold on any working day. Pay-outs are made direct
to one’s designated bank account, within just three working days.
This means that even sudden, or planned monthly
requirements, can be withdrawn at will, normally qualifying for no tax, and
without having to wait for a taxable dividend applicable on 100% debt funds.
This is unlike the tax free equity dividends, which are exempted, presumably
for the greater risk undertaken.
And yet, Indians are wary, and stay away from investing
in public limited company shares and debentures, traded in the stock markets,
with direct and mutual fund investors making up less than 2% of the population.
This absolute percentage has not changed over the years, even post liberalisation.
All debt funds, by
their very composition as fixed interest instruments, do not go up and down in
value dramatically, like shares.
They rule steady, and return anywhere between 5 to 10%
per annum on average, depending on the category chosen, and are more tax
efficient than bank fixed deposits.
The tax on their profits is capped at a rate of 20% at
present. This, provided they are held for three years. Early withdrawals require
the profits, which tend to be minimal, unless the sum invested is vast, to be
added to taxable income from other sources, and taxed at the marginal rate
applicable to the individual.
This, theoretically is at about 33% in the highest tax
slab, except for the few declared annual crorepati earners, who’ve had yet
another tax slapped on them lately by NDA finance minister Arun Jaitley.
However for most,
this duration to qualify for long term capital gains on debt mutual fund
investments was upped in 2014, also by Arun Jaitley in his very first full
budget.
Before that, these debt funds were even more attractive,
because, like equity, the classification changed from short-term capital gains
on the profits, for tax purposes, after just one year, to long-term capital
gains.
And these were taxed at a flat tax rate of 10% initially,
which was increased to 15%, and finally, in 2014, to 20%, albeit on an
indexable basis, just like proceeds from real estate/property sales.
The one year qualifier was extended to three, in 2014,
but for securities held longer still, the inflation indexing benefits, quite
often, ensure that tax calculations, eventually, end up either minimal, or at nil.
It is also permitted by the RBI to pledge these debt
funds freely to any bank. An individual can pledge up to Rs 20 crores, and
borrow up to 90% of their value, at a rate of interest pegged to the RBI’s
lending rate scenario, currently in the range of 10.5-11%.
Contrast this with a ceiling of Rs. 20 lakhs maximum, per
individual, against equity, usually at no more than 50% of the market value, at
the time of pledging.
The scores of debt mutual funds on offer, are all rated by CRISIL ,Value Research, Economic Times, Moneycontrol, etc., provided they are 3 years or more old, to provide an adequate track record.
These star ratings, and their logic, even for those funds
that are not yet mature enough, are all freely researchable on the Internet and
are often featured in newspapers or on the business oriented news channels
as well. And though there are many
financial advisers, both with the banks and elsewhere, it is quite possible to
invest directly, thereby saving on brokerage and commissions.
Bank FDs, on the other hand, are taxed at the marginal
tax rate from the start, and are earmarked for more at the time of filing one’s
returns, by TDS too.
Till a few years ago, the Indian investor did not have the
myriad options that are available today. But, unfortunately, despite tax and
return-on-investment (RoI) advantages, the many mutual fund schemes, for 100%
equity, hybrid ones with both debt and equity, and 100% debt, are all still
grossly under-utilised.
In 1963, the government established the very first mutual
fund, initially via the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The Unit Trust of India
established a monopoly with its one-trick pony named US- 64, and this ran on
and on, eventually garnering about 11,500 crores off about 2 crore small investors, and handing out
above average dividends for years. This, till it came to grief in the late
nineties onwards, and is now, sadly, closed.
US-64 was joined, in 1987, by other PSU bank mutual fund
offerings from the SBI, Canara Bank, PNB, and so on. Then in 1993, private
mutual funds with highly professional foreign partners, from the multi-billion
dollar US MF industry, were also allowed into the country.
And though small, with a market capitalisation in the region
of half a billion dollars in 1994, and no more than $ 2 trillion now, the stock
markets were early movers, becoming automated in 1994-95.
Today, per statistics up to March 2016, there are 11,856
mutual fund schemes to choose from, all competing for investments, and provided
by 43 separate fund houses. Collectively, they manage a seemingly large Rs.
106,30,921.82 lakhs, in retail/institutional/corporate investments.
Interestingly, of all
the listed stock in the bourses, the FIIs hold 10.45% of the total, obviously from the liquid Indian company
stock, while Indian mutual funds account for just 2.68% , and other Indian
financial institutions hold another 5.32% of the traded shares.
After all this time since the liberalisation and financial
markets opening up of the nineties, there are just 20 million demat accounts,
and some 248 listed portfolio managers, serving a population of over 1.2
billion.
The real rub is in the fact that the mutual funds, and the
total direct participation in the stock markets, represents a fraction of the
personal savings of Indians. These stood at 22,124.14 billion in 2013, up from
Rs. 20,547.37 billion in 2012, as per
the Ministry of Statistics
&Programme Inplementation (MOSPI).
The International Monetary Fund (IMF), states that the
Indian household savings rate was at its highest in 2011 at 34.7%. It was at
30.17% in 2014, is expected to decline to 28.35% by 2018, before rising once
again to 28.6% by 2020.
But from any perspective, the savings rate, for an
essentially low income country, is commendable. What is not so good, is the way
most people save their money for notions of apparent safety and risk aversion.
That a very small percentage of Indians use the financial markets
is probably also a consequence of inadequate market penetration on the part of
the financial services industry, despite several 24x7 satellite TV channels,
devoted exclusively to the subject.
Moves are afoot on the part of the government to deepen the
Indian debt market, and whatever has been done so far, has been eagerly lapped
up by the FIIs, if not the locals.
The equity market too has seen a recent spurt in initial
public offerings (IPOs), largely gone missing for a long time. With banks under-
capitalised, and burdened by NPAs, the debt market becomes all the more
important as a source of capital, particularly for small to medium business
(SMEs). These need to borrow money cheaply in order to turn a profit and
thrive.
The bigger companies too, and more importantly, the government
of India, largely lives and grows on its borrowings from the equity and debt
markets, Our debt market however is largely illiquid, and not very large, in
international terms.
Great strides in modernisation, a mandatory deepening, and
widening, is necessary over the course. Meanwhile, individuals could do
themselves a favour by moving a greater proportion of their savings to the debt
market, instead of letting them wither away in banks.
For: Swarajyamag
(1,519 words)
July 12th, 2016
Gautam Mukherjee
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